trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +188.4% | +160.9% | 100% | 100% | +160.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +52.2% | +37.7% | 100% | 33% | +114.3% |
| all | 13 | +36.4% | +23.5% | 100% | 23% | +103.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +23.5% | 23% | +103.1% |
| 10% | +11.6% | 23% | +83.7% |
| 15% | +0.9% | 23% | +65.9% |
| 20% | -9.0% | 23% | +49.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 70¢ | 70¢ | $548 | $552 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $164 | +$310 | +188% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 17 | $165 | +$231 | +140% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | May 16 | $174 | +$242 | +140% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 6? | May 16 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | May 16 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | May 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31? | May 16 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | May 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | May 16 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January | Feb 03 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? | Feb 03 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $55 on the final trading day of January 2 | Feb 03 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | Jan 06 | $20 | $0 | +0% |