trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -12.6% | -21.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 29 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 55% | 14% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.8% | 14% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 10% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 3% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -35.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 23 | $174 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Jun 11 | $278 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 08 | $526 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 02 | $656 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 22 | $179 | $0 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | May 22 | $352 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | May 08 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 20 | Apr 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 21 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 18 | $120 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele | Jan 30 | $195 | $0 | +0% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 m | Dec 19 | $192 | +$3 | +2% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | Dec 17 | $180 | +$11 | +6% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Nov 26 | $28 | +$3 | +12% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 20 | Nov 25 | $198 | −$19 | -10% |
| Epstein client list released in 2025? | Nov 20 | $53 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on November 14? | Nov 19 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Nov 11 | $191 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 | Nov 05 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025 | Nov 04 | $89 | +$1 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 30 | $87 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31? | Oct 11 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Oct 11 | $10 | +$3 | +30% |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Sep 30 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31? | Sep 30 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? | Mar 13 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first? | Dec 11 | $10 | +$3 | +30% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Who will win women? | Oct 24 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |