Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:30:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x2448…6228
crypto · 545 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$279 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$270 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$270
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses270 / 274
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)544 / 545
History coverage83d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 544 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $12 $3 −$8 (-73%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen Hyderabad Kingsmen 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $1 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen May 03 $13 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Apr 15 $1 +$1 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Apr 15 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Apr 15 $3 −$2 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Apr 15 $1 +$1 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Apr 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Apr 15 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Apr 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Apr 05 $8 −$6 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Apr 05 $2 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Apr 05 $7 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Apr 05 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Apr 05 $13 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Apr 05 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Apr 05 $11 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Apr 05 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Apr 05 $2 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Apr 05 $4 −$2 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Apr 04 $3 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Apr 04 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Apr 04 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Apr 04 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Apr 04 $3 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Apr 04 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Apr 04 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 04 $3 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 04 $1 −$1 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 04 $4 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 04 $1 $0 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$269
other 0% −$10
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 27m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $3 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 4h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $4 5h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL Afghanistan 11¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -11.4% -19.8% 40% 40% -12.5%
≤30d 15 -11.4% -19.8% 40% 40% -12.5%
≤90d 544 -3.3% -12.5% 50% 40% -15.6%
all 544 -3.3% -12.5% 50% 40% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 40% -15.6%
10% -20.9% 33% -23.7%
15% -28.5% 25% -31.1%
20% -35.6% 20% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.07 · official $10.13 · 1788 history records