Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x2427…52a2
sports · 1481 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$901 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$898 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$898
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses636 / 1029
Est. fees paid−$71
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1665 / 1481
History coverage45d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day74.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 8 History 1665 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$748
7 days−$759
14 days−$760
30 days−$805
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 67¢ 62¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-7%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 28¢ 28¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 32¢ 26¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-20%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 54¢ 42¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-21%)
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes 27¢ 38¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+43%)
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Leandro Riedi 52¢ 50¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15? No 70¢ 69¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Mert Alkaya Mert Alkaya 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 56¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jelena Ostapenko vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 55¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 49¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 44¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Knicks vs. 76ers Knicks 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14? No 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+122%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Dayana Yastremska 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia Michael Zheng 45¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+122%)
Set 1 Winner: Sonego vs Alkaya Sonego 51¢ 50¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15? No 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27? No 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8? No 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17? No 55¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23? No 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15? Jun 14 $16 −$17 -107%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17? Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Stars vs. Wild Jun 14 $3 −$3 -112%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 18? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 15? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15? Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 14? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14? Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Derby County FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 15? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 15? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14? Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 15? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -104%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 15? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 15? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15? Jun 14 $3 −$2 -63%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 15? Jun 14 $4 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 15? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 26? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? Jun 14 $59 −$63 -107%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 15? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$124
crypto 22% −$14
other 12% −$22
weather 7% +$14
tech 0% +$1
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 51¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel SELL Federico Cina 37¢ $2 11h
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 26¢ $1 12h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 48¢ $2 13h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 23¢ $1 13h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL Yes 36¢ $2 13h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 64¢ $3 13h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 61¢ $3 15h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15? BUY No 70¢ $4 17h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates 50¢ $2 18h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito SELL Sara Saito 49¢ $2 18h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 60¢ $3 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $3 19h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $3 19h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito SELL Yujia Huang 43¢ $2 19h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Yujia Huang 40¢ $2 19h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 40¢ $2 20h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Sho Shimabukuro 50¢ $2 20h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 51¢ $3 20h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 45¢ $2 20h
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees SELL New York Yankees 51¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $0 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 20h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 53¢ $3 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 380 -48.9% -53.7% 24% 20% -58.8%
≤30d 1085 -19.2% -26.9% 37% 29% -29.1%
≤90d 1665 -13.8% -22.0% 38% 29% -23.8%
all 1665 -13.8% -22.0% 38% 29% -23.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.0% 29% -23.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.5% 24% -31.1%
15% -36.3% 18% -37.7%
20% -42.6% 14% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.49 · official $43.64 · 3500 history records