Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:00:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x2424…8c23
crypto · 245 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$84 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$84
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses109 / 136
Open positions0
Markets (closed)245 / 245
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 245 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$4
14 days−$10
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-24.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -4.8% -13.9% 68% 61% -13.2%
≤30d 196 -16.7% -24.6% 45% 41% -23.0%
≤90d 245 -16.7% -24.6% 44% 40% -27.0%
all 245 -16.7% -24.6% 44% 40% -27.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.6% 40% -27.0%
10% -31.8% 38% -34.0%
15% -38.4% 25% -40.4%
20% -44.5% 18% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 376 history records