Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x241f…ef50
other · 2584 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$961 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$314 · open −$6,799
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14,112
Realized+$314
Unrealized−$6,799
Win rate (resolved)1%
Wins / losses3 / 496
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions252
Markets (closed)499 / 2584
History coverage32d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day100.4
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 252 History 499 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$43
30 days+$314
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 50¢ 99¢ $5,000 $9,935 +$4,935 (+99%)
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 50¢ 99¢ $2,000 $3,974 +$1,974 (+99%)
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50¢ 1¢ $5,000 $65 −$4,935 (-99%)
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50¢ 1¢ $2,000 $26 −$1,974 (-99%)
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 49¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+49300%)
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49850%)
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner TEC Esports 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49850%)
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49850%)
Set Handicap: Zidansek (-1.5) vs Friedsam (+1.5) Zidansek 0¢ 49¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49350%)
ITF Klagenfurt: Dominik Recek vs Justas Trainauskas Justas Trainauskas 0¢ 49¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+49349%)
Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Nerve of Cow 0¢ 50¢ $0 $4 +$3 (+49900%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Odd 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2? Under 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49400%)
Friedsam vs. Zidansek: Match O/U 21.5 Over 0¢ 44¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+43900%)
Counter-Strike: BRAWLSTARS vs Clutchain Female (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Clutchain Female 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49900%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Even 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49850%)
ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja: Completed Match: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Katarina Kujovic No 0¢ 49¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+49350%)
ITF Gaborone: Tanisha Kashyap vs D'Estree Colalancia DEstree Colalancia 0¢ 45¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+45300%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 11? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 11? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Core CPI MoM be -0.2% in May? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.3% or more in May? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Michael Stansfield advance from the CA-06 primary election? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Amy Phan West advance from the CA-45 primary election? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on June 10? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Robert Lee be the Republican nominee for SC-04? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 10? Jun 09 $0 $0 -99%
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 9? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 10? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 11? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 11? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on June 10? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 27m? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will James Lally be the Democratic nominee for NV-03? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 8? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 10? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 9? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will 320 to 349 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026? Jun 07 $0 $0 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will Mac Meissner finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournam Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Jordan (-2.5) Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will Nicolas Echavarria finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial T Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will Sahith Theegala finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tour Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 June 1-7? Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.80 on June 8? Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 86% −$6,405
crypto 12% +$42
sports 1% +$50
other 1% −$176
weather 0% −$1
tech 0% $0
world 0% −$1
culture 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
finance 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9m
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10m
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11m
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 14m
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 18m
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, BUY Yes 0¢ $0 33m
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, BUY Yes 0¢ $0 33m
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June BUY Yes 0¢ $0 50m
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in June? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market cl BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY No 0¢ $0 7h
Will Iván Cepeda win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round o BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Will "Fiona Apple" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Will "Fiona Apple" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Will "Fiona Apple" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in June? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-93.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 436 -95.2% -95.6% 0% 0% -94.8%
≤30d 499 -93.2% -93.9% 1% 0% -6.4%
≤90d 499 -93.2% -93.9% 1% 0% -6.4%
all 499 -93.2% -93.9% 1% 0% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -93.9% 0% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -94.5% 0% -15.4%
15% -95.0% 0% -23.6%
20% -95.5% 0% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14,112.23 · official $14,112.35 (match) · 3500 history records