Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:39:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

24
0x241a…c5da
crypto · 464 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$170 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$170 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$170
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses255 / 209
Open positions0
Markets (closed)464 / 464
History coverage150d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 464 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$53
14 days−$73
30 days−$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% −$96
politics 27% +$25
world 10% −$33
other 4% −$8
tech 4% −$22
economics 3% −$35
sports 0% +$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $15 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 -15.6% -23.6% 58% 54% -26.6%
≤30d 302 -15.0% -23.1% 58% 52% -21.1%
≤90d 365 -14.7% -22.8% 58% 52% -20.9%
all 464 -14.1% -22.3% 55% 45% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.3% 45% -16.0%
10% -29.7% 32% -24.0%
15% -36.5% 22% -31.3%
20% -42.7% 14% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 930 history records