trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +32.4% | +19.8% | 67% | 33% | -7.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 50% | 25% | -20.9% |
| all | 5 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 40% | 20% | -15.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 20% | -15.1% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 20% | -23.2% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 20% | -30.7% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 20% | -37.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | Jun 17 | $1,200 | −$1 | -0% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | May 25 | $31 | +$29 | +93% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026? | May 25 | $4 | $0 | +4% |
| BNB Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Mar 28 | $210 | −$210 | -100% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO | Feb 27 | $1,503 | $0 | +0% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | SELL No | 100¢ | $1,199 | 1h |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | BUY No | 100¢ | $1,200 | 1h |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY Down | 50¢ | $31 | 23d |
| BNB Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY Down | 50¢ | $210 | 81d |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026? | BUY No | 96¢ | $4 | 110d |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO | SELL No | 100¢ | $1,503 | 110d |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO | BUY No | 100¢ | $1,503 | 110d |