trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 19 | -7.2% | -16.1% | 11% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.1% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $229 | $229 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $188 | $188 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $158 | $158 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 26 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 26 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 20 | $409 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 20 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 19 | $490 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 16 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 16 | $460 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 15 | $481 | $0 | -0% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Jan 15 | $15 | −$6 | -38% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 14 | $482 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 13 | $482 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 12 | $482 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 09 | $483 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Jan 09 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company? | Jan 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Dec 25 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Nov | Oct 31 | $49 | $0 | -0% |