Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x23f8…5c7d
other · 8 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$5 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)6 / 8
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 2 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3 −$2 -79%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +59%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 +$6 +276%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 79% −$4
sports 21% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 3m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 34m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 34m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $2 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 32h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +28.2% +16.0% 50% 50% +5.6%
≤30d 6 +28.2% +16.0% 50% 50% +5.6%
≤90d 6 +28.2% +16.0% 50% 50% +5.6%
all 6 +28.2% +16.0% 50% 50% +5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +16.0% 50% +5.6%
10% +4.9% 50% -4.5%
15% -5.2% 50% -13.8%
20% -14.5% 50% -22.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.60 · official $4.60 (match) · 14 history records