Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:35:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x23f6…5c87
crypto · 839 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$672 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$672 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$672
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses259 / 660
Open positions0
Markets (closed)919 / 839
History coverage11d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day315.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 919 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$589
7 days−$573
14 days−$672
30 days−$672
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$167
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-34.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 672 -32.1% -38.5% 24% 23% -36.6%
≤30d 919 -27.4% -34.3% 28% 26% -30.0%
≤90d 919 -27.4% -34.3% 28% 26% -30.0%
all 919 -27.4% -34.3% 28% 26% -30.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover315.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.3% 26% -30.0%
10% ← realistic here -40.6% 24% -36.7%
15% -46.3% 21% -42.8%
20% -51.6% 19% -48.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records