Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T16:41:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
23 0x23f5…7a6e crypto 184 markets active 1h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (523 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$37,546 (+83%) realized +$37,546 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -4% what you keep after slip
Net edge-4%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate58%107W / 77L
Whale WR54%big bets
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$246per market
Trades / day522.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5,908
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (523 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 +24.2% +12.3% 58% 55% +2.3%
≤30d 184 +24.2% +12.3% 58% 55% +2.3%
≤90d 184 +24.2% +12.3% 58% 55% +2.3%
all 184 +24.2% +12.3% 58% 55% +2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover522.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.3% 55% +2.3%
10% ← realistic here +1.6% 51% -7.5%
15% -8.2% 46% -16.4%
20% -17.2% 37% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +13% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +24% · $-wt +13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 54% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +38% → late +10% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
18.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$139 vs −$117 · ×1.19 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.66 per $1 lost it wins $1.66
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$37,546
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses107 / 77
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)184 / 184
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$246
Trades / day522.7
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 184 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $116 +$91 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $93 +$75 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $110 +$88 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $115 +$83 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $113 +$85 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $116 +$82 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $122 +$76 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $104 +$72 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $166 −$113 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $171 +$92 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $126 +$72 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $133 −$133 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$16 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $43 +$45 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $44 +$46 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $28 +$27 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $116 +$106 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $618 +$250 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $92 +$47 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $221 +$94 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $145 +$60 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $174 +$88 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $189 −$189 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$45 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $121 +$74 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $565 +$425 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $215 −$215 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $316 +$126 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $458 +$205 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $214 −$214 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $48 +$30 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $208 −$208 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $16 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $14 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records