Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x23f4…9ee4
crypto · 143 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$21 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses114 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)143 / 143
History coverage25d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$2
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +26%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 04 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 27 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 27 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 27 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 27 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 26 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 26 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 26 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 26 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 26 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 26 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 26 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 26 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 26 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 26 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET May 26 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 26 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 26 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 26 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 26 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET May 26 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 26 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 25 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 25 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 25 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 25 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 25 $1 $0 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 12d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 62¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $0 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -32.7% -39.1% 33% 0% -17.6%
≤30d 143 +2.1% -7.7% 80% 41% -3.6%
≤90d 143 +2.1% -7.7% 80% 41% -3.6%
all 143 +2.1% -7.7% 80% 41% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.7% 41% -3.6%
10% -16.5% 20% -12.8%
15% -24.6% 9% -21.2%
20% -32.0% 5% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 365 history records