trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 63¢ | 64¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 63¢ | 80¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+28%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 81¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Knicks | 36¢ | 36¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +108% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +103% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +158% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $6 | +$1 | +19% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Iván Cepeda win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round o | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round o | Jun 03 | $1 | +$2 | +164% |
| Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 31 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | May 26 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $1 | +$1 | +73% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +31.5% | +18.9% | 67% | 67% | +14.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 67% | 58% | -1.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 67% | 58% | -1.7% |
| all | 12 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 67% | 58% | -1.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +17.4% | 58% | -1.7% |
| 10% | +6.2% | 50% | -11.1% |
| 15% | -4.1% | 42% | -19.7% |
| 20% | -13.5% | 42% | -27.5% |