Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:35:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x23ef…a0d9
crypto · 28 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$11 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses26 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day28.0
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +4.5% -5.5% 93% 57% -4.2%
≤30d 28 +4.5% -5.5% 93% 57% -4.2%
≤90d 28 +4.5% -5.5% 93% 57% -4.2%
all 28 +4.5% -5.5% 93% 57% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 57% -4.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.5% 7% -13.3%
15% -22.8% 0% -21.7%
20% -30.4% 0% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 54 history records