Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T18:03:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
23 0x23eb…beb2 crypto 1817 markets active 0h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$1,245 (-6%) realized −$1,245 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate57%883W / 657L
Drawdown65%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day100.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 26d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$2,128
other 1% +$44
sports 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1121 +15.0% +4.1% 56% 54% -4.8%
≤30d 1540 +16.5% +5.4% 57% 56% -5.6%
≤90d 1540 +16.5% +5.4% 57% 56% -5.6%
all 1540 +16.5% +5.4% 57% 56% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover100.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.4% 56% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here -4.7% 56% -14.6%
15% -13.9% 55% -22.9%
20% -22.3% 54% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +17% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +27% → late +6% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$9 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,245
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses883 / 657
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1540 / 1817
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$11
Trades / day100.1
Drawdown65%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1540 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$2 -296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12AM ET Jun 23 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 8m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $0 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 24m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 32m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 42m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 47m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 47m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 3500 history records