trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 0% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 0% | 0% | -10.8% |
| all | 26 | +38.3% | +25.1% | 46% | 4% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +25.1% | 4% | -9.7% |
| 10% | +13.2% | 4% | -18.4% |
| 15% | +2.2% | 4% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -7.8% | 4% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $27 | $27 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $3 | $0 | -11% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $32 | −$1 | -4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | Jun 26 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 National League Championshi | Jun 24 | $0 | $0 | +1000% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trum | Apr 14 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 13 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | Apr 12 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 11 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will AppLovin buy TikTok? | Apr 11 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 11 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Apr 07 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 05 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28? | Mar 29 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 25 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | Mar 25 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31? | Mar 23 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on March 28? | Mar 23 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28? | Mar 23 | $16 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 19? | Mar 21 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 17 | $15 | $0 | +3% |