Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x23c7…8266
crypto · 779 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,085 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,085 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,085
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses346 / 600
Open positions0
Markets (closed)946 / 779
History coverage9d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day341.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 946 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,720
7 days−$2,344
14 days−$2,085
30 days−$2,085
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$29 +485%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$46 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$964
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-31.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 834 -31.0% -37.5% 34% 31% -31.8%
≤30d 946 -23.9% -31.2% 37% 34% -27.0%
≤90d 946 -23.9% -31.2% 37% 34% -27.0%
all 946 -23.9% -31.2% 37% 34% -27.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover341.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.2% 34% -27.0%
10% ← realistic here -37.8% 31% -34.0%
15% -43.8% 28% -40.3%
20% -49.3% 23% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records