Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x23bc…5487
sports · 669 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$788 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$681 · open +$98
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,836
Realized+$681
Unrealized+$98
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses150 / 24
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions420
Markets (closed)174 / 669
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1769.4
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 420 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$681
7 days+$681
14 days+$681
30 days+$681
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? No 34¢ 34¢ $177 $177 +$1 (+0%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $122 $122 −$0 (-0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? No 93¢ 93¢ $106 $106 +$0 (+0%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 90¢ 90¢ $93 $94 +$1 (+1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $89 $89 −$0 (-0%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $82 $86 +$4 (+5%)
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) South Africa 68¢ 70¢ $74 $77 +$2 (+3%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? No 96¢ 97¢ $76 $76 +$1 (+1%)
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? No 81¢ 78¢ $73 $70 −$2 (-3%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? No 79¢ 80¢ $61 $62 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $57 $58 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) Spain 99¢ 99¢ $52 $52 +$0 (+0%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 81¢ 78¢ $53 $51 −$2 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 22¢ 20¢ $49 $44 −$6 (-11%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? No 21¢ 21¢ $41 $42 +$1 (+1%)
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5) Germany 99¢ 99¢ $41 $41 +$0 (+0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 51¢ 54¢ $39 $40 +$2 (+5%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $38 $38 +$1 (+2%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 83¢ 85¢ $36 $37 +$1 (+3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 58¢ $36 $37 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? No 86¢ 86¢ $35 $35 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? No 36¢ 36¢ $34 $34 +$1 (+2%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 89¢ 94¢ $32 $34 +$2 (+6%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-3%)
Spain leading at halftime? No 28¢ 28¢ $33 $33 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Gina Marie Dittmann Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1 +$6 +552%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $2 +$10 +510%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Zhang vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -89%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +27%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +42%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +60%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +152%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +36%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +262%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $43 −$43 -99%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 12 $18 −$18 -96%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +183%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $46 −$45 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $17 −$3 -15%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -19%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +105%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $18 +$3 +18%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 +$4 +191%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $9 −$3 -37%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$13 +268%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $3 +$4 +141%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 12 $4 +$3 +86%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $34 +$52 +156%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $7 +$5 +67%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5) Jun 12 $16 +$19 +117%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 12 $59 +$65 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% +$680
other 48% +$98
world 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Over 59¢ $1 12m
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 60¢ $1 13m
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 60¢ $1 13m
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 61¢ $0 13m
Spread: UD Almería (-1.5) BUY UD Almería 12¢ $0 13m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 31m
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 11¢ $1 31m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $1 31m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $1 31m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $1 32m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 87¢ $1 34m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 34m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 36m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $1 37m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 40m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 54¢ $1 40m
Spain leading at halftime? BUY No 29¢ $1 40m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 80¢ $1 41m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 80¢ $1 41m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 21¢ $1 41m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 41m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 21¢ $1 41m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 41m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Under 29¢ $1 41m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Under 29¢ $1 41m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 21¢ $1 41m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 61¢ $1 41m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 21¢ $1 41m
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 21¢ $1 41m
Argentina vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 38¢ $0 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +78%
net ROI/market (all)+106.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 +128.6% +106.8% 86% 78% +48.3%
≤30d 174 +128.6% +106.8% 86% 78% +48.3%
≤90d 174 +128.6% +106.8% 86% 78% +48.3%
all 174 +128.6% +106.8% 86% 78% +48.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1769.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +106.8% 78% +48.3%
10% ← realistic here +87.1% 69% +34.1%
15% +69.0% 63% +21.1%
20% +52.4% 57% +9.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,836.03 · official $5,142.99 · 3500 history records