trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? | No | 78¢ | 79¢ | $14 | $14 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Algeria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | No | 69¢ | 70¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? | No | 60¢ | 70¢ | $8 | $9 | +$1 (+18%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? | No | 80¢ | 82¢ | $7 | $7 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? | No | 65¢ | 57¢ | $7 | $6 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? | No | 58¢ | 72¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UD Las Palmas achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2 | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 11 | $21 | −$6 | -28% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $26 | −$4 | -15% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -47.8% | -52.7% | 0% | 0% | -41.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -47.8% | -52.7% | 0% | 0% | -41.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -47.8% | -52.7% | 0% | 0% | -41.4% |
| all | 3 | -47.8% | -52.7% | 0% | 0% | -41.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -52.7% | 0% | -41.4% |
| 10% | -57.3% | 0% | -47.0% |
| 15% | -61.4% | 0% | -52.1% |
| 20% | -65.2% | 0% | -56.8% |