Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T12:55:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
23 0x23a9…68ef sports 63 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$305 (-4%) realized −$305 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate43%27W / 36L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$115per market
Trades / day15.7pace
Fees−$128est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$271
7 days+$271
14 days+$271
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$85
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +51.6% +37.2% 100% 100% +25.8%
≤30d 63 -19.6% -27.3% 43% 38% -7.1%
≤90d 63 -19.6% -27.3% 43% 38% -7.1%
all 63 -19.6% -27.3% 43% 38% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.3% 38% -7.1%
10% -34.2% 33% -16.0%
15% -40.6% 27% -24.1%
20% -46.4% 24% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -24% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$77 vs −$60 · ×1.28 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$305
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses27 / 36
Est. fees paid−$128
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage24d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day15.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 63 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne Jun 18 $502 +$117 +23%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne Jun 18 $192 +$153 +80%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $17 −$17 -98%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $100 +$11 +11%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $180 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 02 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $111 +$88 +80%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $202 −$45 -22%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $201 −$100 -50%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $150 −$107 -71%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuit Jun 02 $225 −$224 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner Jun 01 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $104 +$33 +32%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $26 −$4 -17%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $401 +$102 +25%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $203 −$121 -60%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $29 −$28 -94%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $104 +$97 +93%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner May 31 $237 +$195 +82%
Will Panama win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $10 −$4 -42%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner May 31 $36 −$11 -30%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner May 31 $106 −$105 -99%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner May 31 $100 +$76 +76%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner May 31 $257 −$157 -61%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $252 +$284 +112%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $105 −$53 -51%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 31 $97 −$96 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $100 +$85 +85%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 31 $202 −$77 -38%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $200 +$80 +40%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner May 30 $71 −$37 -53%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner May 30 $145 +$246 +170%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $93 +$11 +12%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $130 +$18 +14%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $152 −$20 -13%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $36 −$16 -44%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $150 +$14 +10%
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction - Game 2 Winner May 29 $50 +$29 +58%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $102 −$35 -34%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner May 29 $75 +$39 +51%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $50 +$29 +58%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $30 +$3 +9%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 29 $30 +$9 +31%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 29 $25 −$14 -55%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner May 28 $42 −$41 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $86 +$41 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne SELL KT Rolster Challengers 100¢ $414 9m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 58¢ $50 34m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 58¢ $50 34m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 58¢ $50 34m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 64¢ $51 35m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 64¢ $51 35m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne SELL KT Rolster Challengers 64¢ $13 37m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne SELL KT Rolster Challengers 64¢ $13 37m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne SELL KT Rolster Challengers 64¢ $16 37m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne SELL KT Rolster Challengers 64¢ $1 37m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne SELL KT Rolster Challengers 64¢ $6 37m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 64¢ $51 37m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne SELL Nongshim Esports Academy 33¢ $33 38m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 47¢ $49 38m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne SELL Nongshim Esports Academy 41¢ $34 42m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 59¢ $51 45m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne SELL KT Rolster Challengers 46¢ $88 46m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 54¢ $50 49m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 50¢ $51 50m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne SELL KT Rolster Challengers 100¢ $345 56m
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 89¢ $40 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 93¢ $50 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 50¢ $51 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 34¢ $6 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 34¢ $45 1h
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 17¢ $17 15d
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Heroic 74¢ $101 16d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL B8 99¢ $111 16d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY B8 89¢ $50 16d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY B8 89¢ $46 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 376 history records