Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T07:56:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
23 0x239e…65d3 crypto 1491 markets active 1h ago coverage 48d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 48d only
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,684 (-9%) realized −$3,684 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate55%805W / 672L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day54.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$177
7 days+$454
14 days+$309
30 days−$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,888
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 -4.0% -13.1% 52% 51% +5.2%
≤30d 676 +0.5% -9.0% 56% 55% -10.2%
≤90d 1477 -1.9% -11.3% 55% 53% -16.1%
all 1477 -1.9% -11.3% 55% 53% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 53% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 51% -24.1%
15% -27.5% 48% -31.5%
20% -34.6% 44% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$26 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

48d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,684
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses805 / 672
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1477 / 1491
History coverage48d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1477 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $413 +$278 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $206 −$43 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $72 −$70 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$33 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $114 +$95 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $57 +$48 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $155 +$96 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$8 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$16 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$30 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +122%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $110 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $130 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $309 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records