Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x239d…daeb
crypto · 1436 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$162 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$157 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$157
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses744 / 693
Est. fees paid−$136
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1437 / 1436
History coverage55d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day37.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 1437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$184
7 days+$184
14 days+$2
30 days−$467
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 50¢ 6¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
76ers vs. Cavaliers 76ers 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Senators 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) Kings 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) Kings 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Philadelphia Phillies 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Spurs Celtics 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Philadelphia Phillies 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
76ers vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $0 −$4 -8998%
Celtics vs. Spurs Jun 12 $0 +$1 +450%
Mavericks vs. Hawks Jun 12 $0 −$7 -12120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$18 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$18 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $307 +$227 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$106 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$12 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$31 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$22 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $67 +$61 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$31 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$16 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$13 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$30 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $27 +$7 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$13 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% −$41
crypto 47% −$11
other 3% −$70
tech 1% +$7
world 0% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $9 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $9 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $21 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $15 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $13 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $13 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $40 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -3.6% -12.7% 51% 51% +0.4%
≤30d 1189 -2.1% -11.4% 51% 51% -14.0%
≤90d 1437 -1.4% -10.8% 52% 52% -9.6%
all 1437 -1.4% -10.8% 52% 52% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 52% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 51% -18.2%
15% -27.1% 51% -26.1%
20% -34.3% 50% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.03 · official $15.55 · 3500 history records