Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:30:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x239b…0db7
crypto · 314 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$261 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$261 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$261
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses308 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)314 / 314
History coverage14d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 314 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$98
7 days+$234
14 days+$261
30 days+$261
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $150 +$4 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $148 +$3 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $149 +$4 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $133 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $52 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $89 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $99 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $99 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$4 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $99 +$4 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$235
other 14% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $150 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $148 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $149 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $91 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 14h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $56 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $133 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $99 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $99 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 314 +1.0% -8.6% 98% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 314 +1.0% -8.6% 98% 0% -8.3%
all 314 +1.0% -8.6% 98% 0% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 0% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 0% -17.1%
15% -25.3% 0% -25.1%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 664 history records