Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:07:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2387…2a96
sports · 726 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,351 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,207 · open −$143
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$562
Realized−$2,207
Unrealized−$143
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses182 / 518
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$102
Open positions23
Markets (closed)700 / 726
History coverage702d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 23 History 700 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$117
7 days−$91
14 days−$61
30 days−$308
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 16¢ $100 $122 +$22 (+22%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 27¢ 19¢ $100 $71 −$29 (-29%)
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 54¢ 65¢ $50 $60 +$10 (+20%)
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 26¢ 24¢ $50 $46 −$4 (-8%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $30 $33 +$3 (+9%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 11¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+97%)
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 19¢ 3¢ $110 $18 −$92 (-83%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 6¢ 20¢ $5 $15 +$10 (+207%)
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+29%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 7¢ 8¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+5%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-15%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-37%)
Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-68%)
Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-80%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes 14¢ 1¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-91%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 3¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 17¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 8¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-99%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 −$15 -49%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $20 +$49 +238%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $81 −$10 -12%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $15 +$122 +793%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $10 +$25 +250%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 27 $10 +$23 +226%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $51 +$81 +158%
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? May 27 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Playo May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner May 27 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 27 $46 −$46 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 24 $26 +$63 +246%
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? May 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? May 20 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 20 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 20 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 20 $106 +$52 +49%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 20 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 20 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 20 $71 −$71 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 20 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 20 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $152 +$112 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 34% −$482
other 29% −$1,701
sports 24% +$104
crypto 4% +$436
world 3% −$435
economics 2% −$8
culture 2% −$279
finance 2% +$39
tech 0% −$50
weather 0% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 11¢ $5 18m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 5¢ $5 50m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 4¢ $5 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 19¢ $10 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 2¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 1¢ $1 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 3¢ $2 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 8¢ $5 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 9¢ $5 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 20¢ $10 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 82¢ $123 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 26¢ $36 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 10¢ $15 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 31¢ $26 6h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $51 26h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 26h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 3¢ $10 26h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $51 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 27¢ $10 26h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 29¢ $20 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? BUY Yes 9¢ $3 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 3d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 9¢ $11 10d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 48¢ $20 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -75.9% -78.2% 7% 7% -60.9%
≤30d 70 -44.8% -50.1% 16% 16% -26.6%
≤90d 344 -18.1% -25.9% 20% 20% -10.3%
all 700 -18.4% -26.2% 26% 25% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.2% 25% -16.1%
10% -33.3% 23% -24.1%
15% -39.7% 21% -31.4%
20% -45.6% 19% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $561.81 · official $586.81 · 1977 history records