Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:37:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2385…9a13
sports · 267 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$97
Realized+$3
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses135 / 98
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions34
Markets (closed)233 / 267
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day145.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 34 History 233 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 59¢ 97¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+64%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 77¢ 88¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+13%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 43¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$4 (+135%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 26¢ 90¢ $2 $7 +$5 (+238%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 86¢ 75¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-12%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 83¢ 90¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Detroit Tigers 43¢ 91¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+109%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Washington Mystics 50¢ 98¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+95%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 29¢ 98¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+236%)
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) Baltimore Orioles 21¢ 68¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+226%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 82¢ 99¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+22%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Over 66¢ 79¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+19%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 74¢ 69¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 46¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Over 66¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 73¢ 99¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+36%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 28¢ 14¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-52%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Milwaukee Brewers 73¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 54¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+36%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Under 65¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Over 58¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5) Baltimore Orioles 82¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 Under 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 41¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +158%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +134%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -25%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$25 +2330%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$2 +32%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -31%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $4 +$14 +402%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$7 -73%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 +$1 +44%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$26 +808%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $16 +$4 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $2 +$6 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$5
crypto 9% $0
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 75¢ $1 17m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 58¢ $1 19m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 85¢ $6 19m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 86¢ $1 23m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 57¢ $1 29m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 52¢ $1 33m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 65¢ $1 43m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 98¢ $1 44m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 83¢ $3 44m
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 73¢ $1 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 87¢ $1 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 83¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 54¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 42¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 20¢ $1 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 55¢ $1 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 55¢ $1 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 91¢ $5 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 27¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 53¢ $1 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 39¢ $1 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 26¢ $1 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 40¢ $1 1h
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 50¢ $1 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 31¢ $2 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 26¢ $1 1h
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) BUY Cincinnati Reds 34¢ $1 1h
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 84¢ $1 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 64¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 41¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 233 +11.2% +0.6% 58% 49% -9.6%
≤30d 233 +11.2% +0.6% 58% 49% -9.6%
≤90d 233 +11.2% +0.6% 58% 49% -9.6%
all 233 +11.2% +0.6% 58% 49% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover145.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.6% 49% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -9.1% 37% -18.2%
15% -17.8% 29% -26.1%
20% -25.9% 21% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $96.88 · official $96.88 (match) · 730 history records