trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -40.5% | -46.2% | 50% | 50% | -30.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 67% | 67% | -25.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -12.7% | -21.0% | 50% | 50% | -24.2% |
| all | 8 | -16.4% | -24.4% | 62% | 38% | -14.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.4% | 38% | -14.7% |
| 10% | -31.6% | 12% | -22.8% |
| 15% | -38.2% | 12% | -30.3% |
| 20% | -44.3% | 0% | -37.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $110 | $154 | +$45 (+41%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $103 | −$101 | -98% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 14 | $183 | +$35 | +19% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $28 | +$12 | +42% |
| Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? | May 15 | $80 | −$9 | -12% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 05 | $60 | +$3 | +5% |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | Jan 13 | $250 | +$33 | +13% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 13 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jul 30 | $250 | +$3 | +1% |