Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2378…5fcb
politics · 7 markets active 584d ago
0.0score
+$7,978,151 +303%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,978,151 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,978,151
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses6 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage5d
Avg bet$376,633
Trades / day664.6
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi Nov 12 $299,421 +$1,067,220 +356%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Nov 12 $653,974 +$2,031,839 +311%
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presiden Nov 07 $85,458 −$85,458 -100%
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? Nov 07 $55,463 +$56,607 +102%
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? Nov 07 $59,123 +$61,156 +103%
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Nov 07 $38,992 +$956,891 +2454%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 07 $1,443,999 +$3,889,897 +269%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% +$7,978,151
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $1,376 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $99,778 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $4,248 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $24,310 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $1,332 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $282 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $10 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $593 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $296 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $1,482 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $2,356 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $2,447 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $997 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $3,202 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $607 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 74¢ $4,884 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 88¢ $10,560 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 78¢ $39,184 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 78¢ $18,168 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $6,312 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $1 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $0 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $115 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $5 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $266 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $46 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $4 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $120 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $1 583d
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? BUY No 48¢ $242 583d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +86%
net ROI/market (all)+383.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 7 +434.6% +383.7% 86% 86% +258.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover664.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +383.7% 86% +258.2%
10% +337.4% 86% +223.9%
15% ← realistic here +295.1% 86% +192.6%
20% +256.4% 86% +163.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records