trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 40% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 24 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 50% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 91¢ | 92¢ | $46 | $47 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 24 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $46 | +$1 | +3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 23 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 20 | $4 | $0 | -7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 19 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Dec 19 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people? | Apr 08 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 08 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 06 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 05 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April? | Apr 04 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 03 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Left be part of the next German government? | Apr 03 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? | Apr 03 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crystal Palace be relegated? | Apr 02 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | Apr 01 | $24 | $0 | +0% |