trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 21 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $83 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $84 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 08 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 07 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 27 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | May 16 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 13 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | May 10 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 17 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 12 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 05 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | Mar 20 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 17 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 15 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 14 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 08 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 04 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 01 | $86 | $0 | +0% |