Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:49:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2363…a20d
sports · 61 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$740 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,172 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$153
Realized−$1,172
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses25 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$411
Open positions1
Markets (closed)60 / 61
History coverage21d
Avg bet$329
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$532
7 days−$294
14 days−$1,389
30 days−$1,172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 48¢ 48¢ $155 $153 −$2 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $158 −$158 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $259 +$341 +132%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $766 +$277 +36%
ITF Los Angeles: Kaylan Bigun vs Gus Grumet Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $418 +$333 +80%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $158 −$105 -66%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $158 −$111 -70%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $305 +$221 +73%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $179 +$277 +155%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $203 −$11 -6%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 11 $154 −$30 -20%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $158 +$257 +162%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $456 −$456 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $612 +$375 +61%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $814 −$414 -51%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $102 −$102 -100%
ITF Guimaraes: Indianna Spink vs Chelsea Fontenel Jun 10 $345 −$33 -10%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $1,024 −$883 -86%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $199 −$191 -96%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $606 −$374 -62%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $157 −$149 -94%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $203 +$109 +54%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $1,179 +$368 +31%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $178 +$234 +132%
Ilkley: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 08 $178 −$178 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $102 +$159 +156%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Jun 08 $51 −$39 -76%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $157 +$138 +88%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas Jun 08 $217 +$86 +40%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $204 +$356 +174%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $505 +$210 +42%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andre Ilagan Jun 07 $205 −$205 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $1,205 −$320 -26%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovi Jun 07 $157 −$157 -100%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $258 +$149 +58%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 06 $849 +$651 +77%
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $158 −$158 -100%
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw? Jun 01 $642 −$642 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 01 $819 −$67 -8%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1,174 −$519 -44%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 01 $308 −$308 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $51 −$51 -100%
Centurion: Giles Hussey vs Edward Winter May 31 $102 −$92 -90%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon May 30 $111 +$226 +203%
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska May 30 $284 −$279 -98%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $198 +$200 +101%
Valorant: QoR vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group May 28 $208 +$211 +101%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden May 28 $277 +$115 +42%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $178 −$178 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$497
other 7% −$676
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 48¢ $157 13m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Katie Volynets 52¢ $236 14m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 25¢ $118 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 38¢ $158 19h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 99¢ $601 20h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 42¢ $259 22h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady BUY Liam Broady 12¢ $103 23h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady SELL Zachary Svajda 91¢ $1,043 23h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady BUY Zachary Svajda 57¢ $663 24h
ITF Los Angeles: Kaylan Bigun vs Gus Grumet BUY Gus Grumet 10¢ $31 39h
ITF Los Angeles: Kaylan Bigun vs Gus Grumet BUY Gus Grumet 18¢ $102 39h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 21¢ $31 40h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 23¢ $102 40h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 99¢ $341 43h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 45¢ $158 43h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $409 43h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 28¢ $102 44h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 39¢ $158 44h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Leviatán Esports 12¢ $53 45h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Harriet Dart 13¢ $47 46h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 42¢ $158 46h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 99¢ $324 47h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 61¢ $202 2d
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Tatjana Maria 37¢ $202 2d
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 18¢ $102 2d
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 34¢ $158 2d
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher SELL Lucia Bronzetti 76¢ $455 2d
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 29¢ $179 2d
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 42¢ $192 2d
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 43¢ $203 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +0.2% -9.3% 44% 44% -11.7%
≤30d 60 -7.1% -15.9% 42% 42% -14.9%
≤90d 60 -7.1% -15.9% 42% 42% -14.9%
all 60 -7.1% -15.9% 42% 42% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 42% -14.9%
10% -24.0% 42% -23.0%
15% -31.3% 40% -30.5%
20% -38.1% 32% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $153.39 · official $153.39 (match) · 163 history records