Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:24:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2354…20d0
sports · 1306 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$1,511 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,514 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95
Realized+$1,514
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses208 / 1019
Est. fees paid−$95
Open positions21
Markets (closed)1227 / 1306
History coverage403d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 21 History 1227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$107
7 days+$790
14 days+$1,509
30 days+$1,393
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 9¢ 10¢ $26 $32 +$6 (+23%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 6¢ 10¢ $14 $21 +$7 (+48%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 9¢ 10¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+13%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 10¢ 8¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-11%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+50%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-42%)
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+50%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-38%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-42%)
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-96%)
Padres vs. Cubs Padres 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Giants vs. Mets Giants 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Cubs vs. Brewers Cubs 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Astros vs. Red Sox Astros 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $24 −$23 -97%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $18 −$18 -97%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $30 −$24 -80%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $15 −$14 -97%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $14 −$14 -97%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $20 −$19 -97%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $5 +$15 +287%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $37 −$15 -41%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $5 +$16 +303%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $5 +$18 +360%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $14 −$14 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $28 −$27 -97%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $37 +$154 +417%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $9 −$9 -97%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $22 −$21 -97%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $13 +$11 +79%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $5 +$26 +510%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $20 +$1,128 +5780%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $17 −$17 -97%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $14 −$14 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $29 −$28 -97%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $28 −$27 -97%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $14 +$99 +689%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $26 −$25 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $30 −$20 -67%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $15 −$15 -97%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $7 −$7 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $142 +$43 +30%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $7 −$2 -28%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $14 −$3 -21%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $15 −$15 -97%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $14 −$14 -97%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $16 −$16 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $14 −$14 -97%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $12 −$12 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $7 −$7 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $5 +$21 +408%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 07 $19 −$19 -97%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 07 $15 −$10 -65%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $13 $0 -3%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $18 −$18 -97%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $32 −$31 -97%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $21 −$20 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$1,951
other 6% −$213
crypto 4% −$169
politics 1% −$43
economics 0% −$4
world 0% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 4¢ $4 6m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 7¢ $3 15m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 11¢ $2 16m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 6¢ $3 16m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 3¢ $3 30m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 9¢ $3 31m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 0¢ $3 35m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 10¢ $3 35m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 3¢ $2 47m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 4¢ $2 48m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 16¢ $5 48m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 1¢ $1 49m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 1¢ $4 49m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 96¢ $20 50m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 9¢ $5 56m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 9¢ $5 57m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 10¢ $5 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 14¢ $5 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 4¢ $2 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 6¢ $3 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 7¢ $3 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 10¢ $5 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 1¢ $2 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 4¢ $1 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 4¢ $3 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 2¢ $2 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 4¢ $4 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 4¢ $3 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 10¢ $5 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 4¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-37.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +8.6% -1.7% 20% 20% -4.2%
≤30d 194 +1.7% -8.0% 19% 19% -1.7%
≤90d 213 -4.1% -13.2% 19% 18% -3.2%
all 1227 -30.4% -37.0% 17% 16% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.0% 16% -24.5%
10% -43.1% 16% -31.7%
15% -48.6% 14% -38.3%
20% -53.6% 14% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.66 · official $90.28 · 3479 history records