Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:50:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2351…931a
crypto · 1486 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$593 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$600 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$600
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses887 / 692
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1579 / 1486
History coverage19d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day126.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1579 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,146
7 days−$974
14 days−$822
30 days−$600
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 0¢ 88¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$723
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 901 -21.2% -28.7% 46% 43% -25.8%
≤30d 1579 -3.4% -12.6% 56% 52% -14.8%
≤90d 1579 -3.4% -12.6% 56% 52% -14.8%
all 1579 -3.4% -12.6% 56% 52% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover126.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 52% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 47% -22.9%
15% -28.6% 40% -30.4%
20% -35.6% 31% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.20 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records