trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 | Over | 60¢ | 60¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | Yes | 11¢ | 1¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-88%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gra | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -41% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) AND Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -25% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $2 | +$3 | +152% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $4 | −$3 | -73% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +90% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +43% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) AND United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $1 | +$2 | +212% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 12 | $9 | −$4 | -43% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -81% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$2 | -32% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -62% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -59% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -20.2% | -27.8% | 30% | 30% | -29.1% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -20.2% | -27.8% | 30% | 30% | -29.1% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -20.2% | -27.8% | 30% | 30% | -29.1% |
| all | 20 | -20.2% | -27.8% | 30% | 30% | -29.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.8% | 30% | -29.1% |
| 10% | -34.7% | 20% | -35.9% |
| 15% | -41.0% | 20% | -42.1% |
| 20% | -46.8% | 15% | -47.8% |