trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 05 | $120 | +$1,679 | +1399% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 03 | $29,629 | −$21,601 | -73% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 02 | $13,231 | +$20,423 | +154% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | May 31 | $5,672 | +$10 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | May 30 | $1,096 | +$66 | +6% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27? | May 27 | $65 | +$6 | +9% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | May 22 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | May 20 | $3,705 | +$19 | +0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | May 20 | $1,680 | +$20 | +1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 9 | +174.6% | +148.4% | 89% | 33% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +174.6% | +148.4% | 89% | 33% | -8.4% |
| all | 9 | +174.6% | +148.4% | 89% | 33% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +148.4% | 33% | -8.4% |
| 10% | +124.7% | 33% | -17.2% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +103.0% | 33% | -25.2% |
| 20% | +83.1% | 33% | -32.5% |