Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:12:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2346…90f3
crypto · 51 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses34 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage15d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? No 11¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 11 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$10
world 8% −$9
sports 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +8.1% -2.2% 68% 52% -18.4%
≤30d 51 +6.0% -4.1% 67% 51% -25.1%
≤90d 51 +6.0% -4.1% 67% 51% -25.1%
all 51 +6.0% -4.1% 67% 51% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.1% 51% -25.1%
10% -13.3% 37% -32.2%
15% -21.6% 29% -38.8%
20% -29.3% 22% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 160 history records