Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:28:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x233f…3690
crypto · 243 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$302 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$338 · open +$37
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized−$338
Unrealized+$37
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses114 / 128
Open positions1
Markets (closed)242 / 243
History coverage5d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day617.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$336
7 days−$338
14 days−$338
30 days−$338
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 24¢ 69¢ $20 $56 +$37 (+189%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$58 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $124 +$24 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$34 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$13 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $58 +$53 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$19 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$41 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$20 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$41 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $109 +$40 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $64 +$76 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $81 +$50 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$35 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$57 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $151 +$47 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $92 +$38 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $129 +$34 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $153 −$153 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$302
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 242 +2.6% -7.1% 47% 43% -13.0%
≤30d 242 +2.6% -7.1% 47% 43% -13.0%
≤90d 242 +2.6% -7.1% 47% 43% -13.0%
all 242 +2.6% -7.1% 47% 43% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover617.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 43% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 40% -21.3%
15% -24.1% 37% -28.9%
20% -31.6% 30% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.42 · official $56.42 (match) · 3500 history records