Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:37:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2339…b9b0
crypto · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$26 -52%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$26
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-70.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -67.4% -70.5% 0% 0% -80.7%
≤30d 5 -67.4% -70.5% 0% 0% -80.7%
≤90d 5 -67.4% -70.5% 0% 0% -80.7%
all 5 -67.4% -70.5% 0% 0% -80.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -70.5% 0% -80.7%
10% -73.3% 0% -82.6%
15% -75.9% 0% -84.3%
20% -78.2% 0% -85.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records