Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:14:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
23 0x2334…9a9f crypto 100 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1993 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$46,382 (+99%) realized +$46,408 · open −$26
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate55%54W / 45L
Whale WR72%big bets
Drawdown98%max
Avg bet$467per market
Trades / day1993.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$72now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$809
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1993 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -14.5% -22.6% 55% 52% -7.9%
≤30d 99 -14.5% -22.6% 55% 52% -7.9%
≤90d 99 -14.5% -22.6% 55% 52% -7.9%
all 99 -14.5% -22.6% 55% 52% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1993.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.6% 52% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -30.0% 45% -16.7%
15% -36.8% 26% -24.8%
20% -43.0% 13% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 72% (≥$723) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -3% → late -26% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
30.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$205 vs −$228 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$72
Realized+$46,408
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses54 / 45
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)99 / 100
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$467
Trades / day1993.3
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 99 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 20¢ 14¢ $99 $72 −$26 (-26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $32 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $95 +$105 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $365 −$365 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $312 −$312 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $325 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $344 −$344 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $571 −$571 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $1,304 +$696 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $82 +$20 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $123 +$77 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $360 −$360 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $1,057 −$357 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $347 +$153 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $1,068 +$432 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $687 +$312 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $332 +$168 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $415 +$85 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $1,287 −$187 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $588 +$312 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $329 −$329 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $1,021 +$262 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $379 +$121 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $162 −$162 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $803 +$297 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $733 +$198 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $557 −$57 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $834 +$266 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $766 +$234 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $784 +$216 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $345 +$55 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $661 −$161 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,293 +$407 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $172 +$28 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $247 −$247 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $595 −$595 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $67 +$123 +183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $723 +$277 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $198 −$198 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $104 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $32 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $167 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $62 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $58 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $85 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $129 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72.50 · official $147.50 · 3500 history records