Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:46:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2332…3fc5
other · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,011 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,130 · open −$522
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,146
Realized+$1,130
Unrealized−$522
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses7 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$345
Open positions3
Markets (closed)23 / 26
History coverage19d
Avg bet$667
Trades / day31.3
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 3 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42
7 days+$10
14 days+$661
30 days+$1,130
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 27¢ 18¢ $1,502 $972 −$529 (-35%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 55¢ 57¢ $163 $170 +$7 (+5%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $159 −$12 -7%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $288 −$14 -5%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1,289 +$244 +19%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $193 −$188 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $329 +$60 +18%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $23 −$16 -69%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $497 −$17 -4%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $99 −$2 -2%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $519 +$41 +8%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $115 +$18 +16%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $15 −$2 -17%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,199 −$385 -32%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $171 −$15 -9%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? Jun 10 $286 −$39 -14%
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May? Jun 10 $661 +$362 +55%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2,249 −$6 -0%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $17 −$2 -11%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $40 −$5 -11%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $3,731 +$782 +21%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $1,256 −$131 -10%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $668 +$469 +70%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 26 $3 $0 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$774
other 16% −$165
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 18¢ $15 11m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 18¢ $20 13m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 19¢ $10 14m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 18¢ $6 14m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 18¢ $29 15m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 18¢ $15 17m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 19¢ $16 17m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 19¢ $32 17m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 57¢ $338 17m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 21¢ $11 19m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 21¢ $9 20m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 22¢ $6 20m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 21¢ $6 21m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 23¢ $41 21m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $46 21m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 27¢ $47 21m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $93 24m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $12 25m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $46 25m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $46 25m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $54 25m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $17 27m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 31¢ $59 27m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 31¢ $59 31m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $22 33m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 27¢ $48 35m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 23¢ $41 35m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 23¢ $41 35m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $13 35m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 27¢ $14 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -13.8% -22.0% 26% 21% -9.4%
≤30d 23 -8.4% -17.2% 30% 26% -2.1%
≤90d 23 -8.4% -17.2% 30% 26% -2.1%
all 23 -8.4% -17.2% 30% 26% -2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 26% -2.1%
10% -25.1% 9% -11.5%
15% ← realistic here -32.3% 9% -20.0%
20% -39.0% 9% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,145.82 · official $1,145.82 (match) · 656 history records