trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +24.2% | +12.3% | 67% | 67% | +12.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 50% | 50% | -0.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 50% | 50% | -0.6% |
| all | 23 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 52% | 52% | +7.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.6% | 52% | +7.0% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 43% | -3.2% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 39% | -12.5% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 35% | -21.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $111 | +$21 | +19% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $102 | +$168 | +165% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $101 | −$46 | -46% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$46 | +46% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$62 | +61% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $151 | +$22 | +14% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $153 | −$109 | -72% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$17 | -32% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$6 | -56% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | +$149 | +146% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $123 | −$120 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$91 | +90% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | Apr 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 26 | $100 | +$82 | +82% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? | Dec 28 | $200 | +$135 | +67% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November? | Dec 12 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Dec 05 | $200 | +$67 | +34% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | Nov 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Nov 19 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | Nov 12 | $200 | +$352 | +176% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $286 | +$155 | +54% |