Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:51:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x232a…849a
crypto · 757 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$216 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$213 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$213
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses392 / 361
Open positions4
Markets (closed)753 / 757
History coverage9d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day132.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 753 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$37
7 days−$19
14 days−$213
30 days−$213
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 71¢ 50¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 76¢ 52¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 64¢ 8¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-88%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 66¢ 7¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$15 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$225
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 438 -0.0% -9.6% 54% 53% -10.7%
≤30d 753 -5.9% -14.9% 52% 52% -16.6%
≤90d 753 -5.9% -14.9% 52% 52% -16.6%
all 753 -5.9% -14.9% 52% 52% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover132.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 52% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 49% -24.6%
15% -30.5% 46% -31.9%
20% -37.3% 41% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.03 · official $9.86 · 1627 history records