Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2322…845d
crypto · 172 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$13
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses100 / 71
Open positions1
Markets (closed)171 / 172
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day50.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 171 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 64¢ 16¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$5 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 -3.1% -12.3% 58% 58% -11.0%
≤30d 171 -3.1% -12.3% 58% 58% -11.0%
≤90d 171 -3.1% -12.3% 58% 58% -11.0%
all 171 -3.1% -12.3% 58% 58% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 58% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 58% -19.6%
15% -28.4% 53% -27.3%
20% -35.4% 37% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.22 · official $4.82 · 304 history records