Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

23
0x2315…f55b
crypto · 258 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$54,507 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27,682 · open −$26,825
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22,139
Realized−$27,682
Unrealized−$26,825
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses213 / 43
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$4,232
Open positions2
Markets (closed)256 / 258
History coverage168d
Avg bet$4,526
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 256 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55,342
7 days−$38,769
14 days−$38,769
30 days−$38,769
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 87¢ 73¢ $26,293 $22,120 −$4,173 (-16%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 59¢ 0¢ $22,671 $19 −$22,652 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 55¢ 0¢ $11,025 $0 −$11,025 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $18,261 +$8,877 +49%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $17,233 −$17,206 -100%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $5,862 −$5,862 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $36,955 −$14,513 -39%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $6,232 +$1,798 +29%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $13,123 +$2,133 +16%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 12 $10,963 +$7,381 +67%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 12 $6,194 −$6,194 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 12 $23,805 −$23,805 -100%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $50,818 +$2,869 +6%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $2,893 +$1,968 +68%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $38,180 +$7,085 +19%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $20,755 +$413 +2%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $40,835 +$10,678 +26%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $32,026 +$3,527 +11%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $10,873 +$15,770 +145%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $4,531 +$1,844 +41%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $4,780 +$643 +14%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $4,333 +$462 +11%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $3,180 +$2,687 +84%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $16,354 +$1,585 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $15,482 +$774 +5%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 11 $4,992 −$132 -3%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 11 $1,760 −$1,760 -100%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 11 $2,172 −$2,172 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10? Jun 11 $1,950 −$1,950 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $3,924 −$3,924 -100%
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekh Jun 11 $3,665 −$3,665 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $5,019 −$5,019 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $7,083 −$7,083 -100%
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkina Jun 11 $3,421 −$3,421 -100%
Qatar Total Open: Ann Li vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 11 $11,787 −$11,787 -100%
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko Jun 11 $16,600 −$14,991 -90%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $22,185 −$22,185 -100%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $14,971 +$1,218 +8%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $26,259 +$4,036 +15%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $9,246 +$3,879 +42%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $16,799 +$2,944 +18%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $7,071 +$952 +14%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $28,887 +$3,979 +14%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $19,999 +$1,495 +8%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $5,273 +$703 +13%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $4,620 +$625 +14%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $4,557 +$88 +2%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $4,690 −$130 -3%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $3,720 +$925 +25%
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 10 $2,961 +$783 +26%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $2,415 +$568 +24%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5,556 +$2,214 +40%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $8,616 +$1,647 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$50,554
crypto 16% −$3,289
other 2% −$664
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 87¢ $1,072 16m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 87¢ $33 16m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 87¢ $442 16m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 87¢ $70 16m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 87¢ $20,648 16m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 86¢ $1,468 17m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 86¢ $2,030 17m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 86¢ $555 17m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 86¢ $69 17m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $27,138 18m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 51¢ $6,234 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $19 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $1,783 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $6 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $8 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $1,610 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $30 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $6,101 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 60¢ $6,377 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 65¢ $3,859 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 65¢ $5,170 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 59¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 59¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 59¢ $3 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 59¢ $1,298 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 74¢ $145 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 75¢ $1,729 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 73¢ $86 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -7.5% -16.3% 71% 56% -14.3%
≤30d 62 -7.5% -16.3% 71% 56% -14.3%
≤90d 62 -7.5% -16.3% 71% 56% -14.3%
all 256 -1.9% -11.3% 83% 44% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 44% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 16% -20.0%
15% -27.5% 7% -27.7%
20% -34.6% 4% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,138.85 · official $23,466.51 · 3500 history records