trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 0% | 0% | -11.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 33% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 33% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 19 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 58% | 11% | +1.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 11% | +1.2% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 5% | -8.5% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 5% | -17.3% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 5% | -25.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $36 | −$1 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 14 | $14 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $16 | +$2 | +10% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $33 | −$1 | -2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 08 | $11 | −$1 | -6% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21? | Mar 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Robert Morris vs. Alabama | Mar 21 | $156 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February | Mar 20 | $46 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will "The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent" win Best Action Short Film | Mar 20 | $59 | +$52 | +89% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | Feb 27 | $3 | −$2 | -73% |
| Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 26 | $38 | +$7 | +19% |