trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 60% | 0% | -25.7% |
| all | 12 | -4.7% | -13.7% | 33% | 0% | -23.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 0% | -23.6% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -31.0% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -37.6% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -43.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 08 | $333 | −$91 | -27% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 23? | May 05 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 26? | Apr 02 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $19 | −$3 | -15% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Mar 02 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 01 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 01 | $20 | −$3 | -14% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 27 | $27 | $0 | +0% |