Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:57:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22da…2866
sports · 260 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10,109 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,236 · open +$127
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,886
Realized−$10,236
Unrealized+$127
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses106 / 132
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$576
Open positions22
Markets (closed)238 / 260
History coverage21d
Avg bet$214
Trades / day158.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 22 History 238 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,978
7 days−$7,892
14 days−$8,250
30 days−$10,236
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 48¢ 54¢ $906 $1,020 +$113 (+12%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $301 $295 −$6 (-2%)
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 6¢ 11¢ $142 $274 +$131 (+92%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 32¢ 100¢ $80 $246 +$166 (+209%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 52¢ 46¢ $157 $142 −$16 (-10%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 59¢ 66¢ $122 $137 +$16 (+13%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 55¢ 100¢ $69 $125 +$56 (+81%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 49¢ 54¢ $108 $119 +$11 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 62¢ 100¢ $69 $112 +$43 (+62%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 64¢ 79¢ $57 $71 +$13 (+23%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 33¢ 34¢ $51 $53 +$2 (+3%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 31¢ 28¢ $47 $43 −$4 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 70¢ 59¢ $41 $35 −$7 (-16%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 55¢ 100¢ $18 $32 +$14 (+81%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 54¢ 66¢ $25 $31 +$6 (+22%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 41¢ 94¢ $10 $23 +$13 (+130%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 19¢ 32¢ $12 $20 +$8 (+63%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 15¢ 41¢ $7 $19 +$12 (+171%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 56¢ 100¢ $11 $19 +$8 (+78%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 89¢ 94¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+6%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 38¢ 41¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+8%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 58¢ 59¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 29¢ 21¢ $13 $10 −$4 (-27%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 34¢ 64¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+87%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 42¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$1 (-12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $16 +$11 +70%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $62 −$53 -85%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $1 +$1 +46%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $59 +$10 +17%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $37 +$54 +146%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $129 −$44 -34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $79 −$14 -17%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $49 +$7 +13%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $131 +$33 +25%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $13 +$6 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $145 −$22 -15%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $167 +$50 +30%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $67 +$74 +110%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $57 +$7 +13%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $48 −$5 -10%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $149 −$76 -51%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $129 −$2 -2%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $28 −$6 -22%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 $0 -1%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $62 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $129 +$47 +37%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $56 −$20 -37%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $68 +$20 +29%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $37 −$7 -18%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $30 +$8 +26%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $66 +$3 +5%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $196 −$192 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $45 +$18 +40%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $275 +$134 +49%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $13 +$9 +73%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $32 +$9 +27%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $171 +$89 +52%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $89 +$19 +22%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $195 +$128 +66%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $60 +$18 +30%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $51 +$23 +46%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $36 −$21 -58%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $19 +$7 +40%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $20 −$3 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$10,390
tech 11% −$647
other 4% +$928
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 64¢ $2 0m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 34¢ $1 0m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 34¢ $3 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 82¢ $20 1m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 61¢ $13 1m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 12¢ $4 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 18¢ $2 4m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 18¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 18¢ $0 4m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 18¢ $2 5m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 18¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 19¢ $3 6m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 32¢ $2 8m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 32¢ $5 8m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 7¢ $0 10m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 7¢ $1 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 14¢ $1 11m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 14¢ $1 11m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 14¢ $1 11m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 57¢ $11 12m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 42¢ $5 13m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 30¢ $7 13m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 30¢ $2 13m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 34¢ $2 13m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 32¢ $7 13m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $1 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $1 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $2 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $1 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $1 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -11.5% -19.9% 43% 39% -36.8%
≤30d 238 -9.8% -18.4% 45% 39% -27.4%
≤90d 238 -9.8% -18.4% 45% 39% -27.4%
all 238 -9.8% -18.4% 45% 39% -27.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover158.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 39% -27.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 34% -34.3%
15% -33.3% 29% -40.7%
20% -39.9% 23% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,886.07 · official $2,886.08 (match) · 3500 history records