trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +17.7% | +6.4% | 100% | 100% | +6.4% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 100% | 50% | -0.0% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 70% | 20% | -7.3% |
| all | 10 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 70% | 20% | -7.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 20% | -7.3% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 10% | -16.2% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 10% | -24.3% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 0% | -31.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 62¢ | 61¢ | $27 | $27 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 25 | $24 | +$4 | +18% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 06 | $22 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | May 19 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | May 18 | $21 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? | May 18 | $21 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14? | May 15 | $22 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | May 13 | $6 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 13 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 13 | $4 | +$2 | +39% |
| Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playof | Apr 22 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |