Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T12:36:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
22 0x22a5…ebfb crypto 809 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (97 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$195 (-3%) realized −$195 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate77%622W / 187L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day97.3pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49
7 days−$340
14 days−$300
30 days−$300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% −$246
other 16% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (97 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 671 -4.0% -13.2% 79% 41% -15.0%
≤30d 809 -3.4% -12.6% 77% 42% -13.7%
≤90d 809 -3.4% -12.6% 77% 42% -13.7%
all 809 -3.4% -12.6% 77% 42% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 42% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 25% -22.0%
15% -28.6% 15% -29.5%
20% -35.6% 10% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
43% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$195
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses622 / 187
Open positions0
Markets (closed)809 / 809
History coverage9d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day97.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 809 Trades
no open positions (131 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $29 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $29 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 28 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 28 $26 −$26 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 28 $44 +$9 +21%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 28 $42 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 28 $21 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 28 $20 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 28 $20 +$1 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $34 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$3 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 28 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 28 $29 +$1 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 28 $29 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 28 $27 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 28 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 28 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 28 $24 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 28 $23 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 28 $23 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 28 $23 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 28 $22 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 28 $22 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 28 $18 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 28 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $18 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 28 $17 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 28 $17 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $16 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 28 $58 −$57 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 28 $49 +$8 +16%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 28 $49 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 28 $49 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 28 $47 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $44 +$3 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 28 $39 +$5 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 28 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $37 +$2 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 28 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 28 $35 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 28 $34 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 28 $33 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$2 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $41 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $27 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $22 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $22 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $21 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $21 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $31 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $31 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $29 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $27 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $22 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1581 history records