Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:55:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x22a4…63eb
sports · 720 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,843 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,599 · open −$244
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,631
Realized−$9,599
Unrealized−$244
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses341 / 591
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$1,678
Open positions34
Markets (closed)932 / 720
History coverage77d
Avg bet$157
Trades / day39.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 34 History 932 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,377
7 days−$10,932
14 days−$11,157
30 days−$10,790
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $216 $215 −$1 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $213 $211 −$1 (-0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $184 $183 −$2 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $142 $141 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $110 $109 −$1 (-1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 66¢ 71¢ $99 $106 +$8 (+8%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 42¢ 38¢ $91 $81 −$10 (-11%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 45¢ 18¢ $188 $77 −$111 (-59%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 76¢ 100¢ $55 $72 +$17 (+32%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 64¢ 19¢ $213 $63 −$150 (-70%)
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 30¢ 24¢ $64 $50 −$14 (-21%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 63¢ 62¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 77¢ 100¢ $24 $31 +$7 (+30%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 58¢ 56¢ $29 $27 −$1 (-4%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 60¢ $23 $24 +$1 (+4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 46¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-3%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 60¢ 62¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Over 84¢ 82¢ $21 $20 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Solary 80¢ 100¢ $16 $20 +$4 (+25%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 61¢ 60¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-2%)
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5 Yes 45¢ 46¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Galions 74¢ 100¢ $12 $17 +$4 (+35%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 71¢ 100¢ $9 $13 +$4 (+40%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 7¢ 64¢ $1 $12 +$11 (+770%)
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 Yes 52¢ 52¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ball State Cardinals vs. Northern Illinois Huskies: O/U 132.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $0 −$5 -1403%
Pelicans vs. Rockets Jun 13 $121 −$121 -100%
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5 Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-3.5) Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Rhode Island Rams vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 132.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 138.5 Jun 13 $199 −$199 -100%
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5 Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5 Jun 13 $211 −$218 -103%
Al Horford: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -82%
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State Raiders Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 18.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 -34%
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Spread: Hawks (-10.5) Jun 13 $119 −$119 -100%
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 153.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $118 −$118 -100%
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-8.5) Jun 13 $197 −$197 -100%
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 30.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Robert Morris Colonials: O/U 141.5 Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Toledo Rockets (-8.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Raptors (-2.5) Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: California Golden Bears (-6.5) Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Caris LeVert: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5 Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$1,055
other 1% +$266
world 0% −$8
crypto 0% +$144
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 BUY Yes 52¢ $6 15m
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 BUY Yes 52¢ $3 15m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 80¢ $3 19m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 80¢ $4 19m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 66¢ $99 56m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 NORD 27¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 95¢ $303 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL No 67¢ $85 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 90¢ $97 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 88¢ $38 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 72¢ $5 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 61¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 60¢ $3 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 70¢ $4 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 62¢ $3 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY No 70¢ $38 2h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Galions 74¢ $9 2h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Galions 75¢ $4 2h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 79¢ $4 2h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 80¢ $4 2h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 81¢ $4 2h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 81¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 57¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 57¢ $12 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 57¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 25¢ $67 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 25¢ $5 2h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner BUY Solary 72¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-30.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 384 -54.3% -58.6% 21% 20% -53.5%
≤30d 513 -41.3% -46.9% 25% 23% -31.6%
≤90d 932 -22.9% -30.2% 37% 35% -16.8%
all 932 -22.9% -30.2% 37% 35% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.2% 35% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -36.9% 34% -24.7%
15% -43.0% 33% -32.0%
20% -48.6% 29% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,630.73 · official $1,630.62 (match) · 3500 history records